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  1. How scary can 1920s-1930s Soviet Union be to Europe and the United States?

    Do you think it was really plausible to have gone that far, and that, at that historic juncture, Afghanistan internally and tribal religious networks across the border in British India, and Muslim communities, lacked the money, media, community sense, international networking to get a...

  2. How scary can 1920s-1930s Soviet Union be to Europe and the United States?

    There "should" be, there "could" be, there often is, from a common AH.commer's POV, which I find pretty Cold War inflected. But there was also in the interwar Germany, including on the right and in the Reichswehr, a significant, "let's split up Poland" contingent who sought to destroy and...

  3. Hitler's Gamble by Brendan Simms

    I really think it would have been an inefficient employment of US resources, with virtually no visible improvements over OTL on the campaign map within calendar year 1942, because of the logistical and distance challenges of getting US aircraft and pilots and basing them near points of contact...

  4. Xi'an Incident kills Chiang Kai-Shek

    This is completely imaginable. The Japanese don't rape Nanjing, they line up and pay their fees at tow/city red light district brothels like (relatively) civilized men. All these alternatives are conceivable. They may seem a little strange to us, but stranger things have been proposed, and...

  5. USSR gets absolute victory in the Winter War, effects on WW2.

    These responses all assume *too much* that for greater Soviet gain, and aggression, there *must* be an equal and opposite anti-Soviet Western Allied reaction. I say to the contrary, not at all. Soviet aggression against Poland, the Baltics, Romania, did not cause permanent unforgivability of...

  6. Xi'an Incident kills Chiang Kai-Shek

    They were by 1936 facing a lot of resistance, or desire for it, in the northwest - from the warlords who kidnapped CKS, Yang Hucheng and Xiang Xueliang, and Fu Zuoyi, who in 1936 inspired even more resistance sentiment by successfully repelling a Japanese probe deeper into his own part of...

  7. Hitler's Gamble by Brendan Simms

    Even with the Lusitania, there is no straight, linear, inevitable, uninterruptible line from the Lusitania sinking in May 1915, less than a year into the war, and the US DoW in April 1914, 23 months, nearly two years, later, after several quite important intervening incidents and diplomatic...

  8. USSR gets absolute victory in the Winter War, effects on WW2.

    I think this part is a little bit of an overoptimistic extrapolation. The whole situation could indeed make Norway trickier for Germany, but Germany is *not* going to let northern worries let it take the eye off the ball in the Low Countries and France in spring 1940.

  9. USSR gets absolute victory in the Winter War, effects on WW2.

    It is said, but it is BS. Such an observation or theory of causation is the classic example of the post hoc, ergo propter hoc logical fallacy. That is latin for "this happened after this, therefore it was because of this" which fails to separates coincidences from causes. Correlations, even...

  10. When did Japanese Navy stop believing they could fight just US or UK or Dutch w/out fighting others?

    I as the OP, am reviving this thread, to allow more voting, as this thread, with its poll, would be complementary/ and supplementary to the current thread. And such a poll would be time-consuming to freshly reconstruct from scratch...

  11. What if Japan attacked the Dutch East Indies in 1936?

    @HJ Tulp @Garrison @Carl Schwamberger and everyone else. Some years back, I made a thread with multiple choices (lots of them, using almost the whole alphabet) to ask just when Japan came to the viewpoint that an attack on one power to its south (the Dutch, the US, or UK) by necessity meant a...

  12. Xi'an Incident kills Chiang Kai-Shek

    By when, relative to the timing of the European War's outbreak in 1939? Could Japan have well puppet'ed the Nanjing government and its Whampoa Clique led Army under the command of He Yinqin, and be satisfied it has pretty thoroughly destroyed Communist Armies and bases in China proper, and...

  13. What if the German Empire had no colonies -> Better performance in WWI?

    I think colonies are overrated as a liability for Germany, simply because they were not retained in WWI and were not defensible, or really reachable during the war. It does not mean they were especially costly for Germany compared to what Britain's colonies cost Britain, France's cost France...

  14. Hitler's Gamble by Brendan Simms

    I assume this is based just on the blurb in Amazon, or the book's title: subtitle, not a reading of the book, or kindle sample?

  15. Would Asia/the world of the twentieth century have been better off if Japan lost the Russo-Japan War, was stalemated, or deterred from attacking?

    Wouldn't the Koreans be better off? Or feel better off? Could/would the Russians make them feel as second or third class as the Japanese did?

  16. Would Asia/the world of the twentieth century have been better off if Japan lost the Russo-Japan War, was stalemated, or deterred from attacking?

    If too big Russia wouldn't be sustainable for too long, then if you see Russia as a big bad bear of a threat, it sounds like nothing to worry about. Then what is not to love about a scenario that slows down Japanese growth, cockiness and exuberance in Korea and China, and also doesn't buff up...

  17. Hitler's Gamble by Brendan Simms

    https://www.amazon.com/Hitlers-American-Gamble-Harbor-Germanys-ebook/dp/B08Y8LSKD4/?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_w=q8uxt&content-id=amzn1.sym.c3fcbb7c-339f-45ab-80dc-facbe5841fce&pf_rd_p=c3fcbb7c-339f-45ab-80dc-facbe5841fce&pf_rd_r=7E13Y4QG248EWQH0H86G&pd_rd_wg=8tfA4&pd_rd_r=de62da6d-a324-4590-8183-6a4fd...

  18. What if Japan attacked the Dutch East Indies in 1936?

    Well let's talk turkey and, and get to brass tacks, shall we? First off, the bolded second part of your statement is rather important, eh? "KNIL had 6 P-6 fighters" (I assume this was the 1936 and 1937 figure, was it something higher in 1941-42? - What about in between, like the winter of...

  19. What if Japan attacked the Dutch East Indies in 1936?

    Great TL

  20. Would Asia/the world of the twentieth century have been better off if Japan lost the Russo-Japan War, was stalemated, or deterred from attacking?

    Even so, Germany and Austria-Hungary could be backed into a corner. A more cocky Russia leaves Serbia feeling invulnerable and it doesn’t back down when Austria annexes Bosnia, or it mounts an insurgency or disguised invasion of Bosnia (a la Pakistan v. India 1965) or an open invasion, and...
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