Most irrational decisions in history that worked

Inspired by the other thread.

What are the most irrational decisions in history that worked? For instance, if a King knows his army is outnumbered 10-1, starts a war with seemingly no advantages, and wins anyways through seemingly improbably means.
 
Napoleon escaping from exile. He literally just got on a boat he had painted like a British one and left with a crew of loyalists. That’s it. He even told Elban officials that he was leaving beforehand.
 
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The 20th Maine, running out of ammo during the Little Round Top battle as part of the overall Battle of Gettysburg, charging the Confederates with bayonets and succeeding; if you want to talk about sheer guts, that was it...
 
Just about everything the Mongols did.

How exactly was the invasion of the Kwarezmshahs or of Jin irrational? In both cases there was precedence. The Liao/Qhitan had exacted tributes from the Song as a powerful nomadic Power. Likewise, the Jin themselves formerly a power on the steppe, had invaded the Song and captured massive territory.

The Kwarezm had long been dangerous from the steppe regions. The Kwarezmshah themselves had to face the Qhara Qhanid and the Qhitan and Qipchaq who threatened their realm. Also, the Kwarezmshahs themselves were formerly people of the steppe, created by mamluk slaves of the Ghurids. Hence why the Kwarezmshah enacted their sound strategy against the Mongols, which included defensive usage of its cities, with knowledge that the hordes from the north and east often had difficulty with walls and were susceptible to infighting in prolonged sieges.

In the Mongol/Ilkhan incursions upon the region of Iraq, it was logical as the Abbasids presented a threat to their Iranian flanks and also existed as a large cash cow. When the Abbasids who previously aligned with the Mongols, rejected any pretense of tribute or vassalage, the Mongols logically moved into position to deal with the Abbasids.

I also do not see why the Mongol incursions into the Pontic Steppe was poor choices. Those areas are vast and flat, the steppe hordes such as the Quman, Qipchaq and Bolghar already rule these lands. Once these were aligned to the Mongols and or conquered, the Rus states present wonderful lands for collection of tribute.

The only situation I would deem irrational, was the Yuan invasion of Java.
 

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The Diadochi poisoning Alexander and trying to carve out new kingdoms, when they had barely even secured their control over the Persian Empire.

George Washington building Fort Necessity in a flat, completely non-tactical area and surrendering; this mistake starting the French and Indian War, which ultimately led to the American Revolution.

Ottoman Sultan Mahmud II disbanding the Janissaries at their peak of power with 135,000 members.
 
The life of Timothy Dexter is a list of irrational and insane things that worked out. to quote wikipedia:

Dexter was born in Malden, Massachusetts. He had little schooling and worked as a farm laborer at the age of 8. When he was 16, he became an apprentice to a leather-dresser. In 1769, he moved to Newburyport, Massachusetts. He married Elizabeth Frothingham, a rich widow, and bought a mansion. Some of his social contemporaries considered him unintelligent.Many of them gave him bad business advice to discredit him and make him lose his fortune.

At the end of the American Revolutionary War, he bought large amounts of depreciated Continental currency that was worthless at the time. After the war was over, the U.S. government made good on the dollars. By the time trade connections resumed, he had amassed a fortune. He built two ships and began an export business to the West Indies and to Europe.

Because he was largely uneducated, his business sense was considered peculiar. He was inspired to send warming pans (used to heat sheets in the cold New England winters) for sale to the West Indies, a tropical area. His captain sold them as ladles for the local molasses industry and made a good profit. Next, Dexter sent wool mittens to the same place, where Asian merchants bought them for export to Siberia.

People jokingly told him to "ship coal to Newcastle". He did so during a miners' strike at the time, and his cargo was sold at a premium. At another time, practical jokers told him he could make money shipping gloves to the South Sea Islands. His ships arrived there in time to sell the gloves to Portuguese boats on their way to China.

He exported Bibles to the East Indies and stray cats to Caribbean islands and again made a profit; eastern missionaries were in need of the Bibles and the Caribbean welcomed a solution to rat infestation. He also hoarded whalebone by mistake, but ended up selling them profitably as a support material for corsets.

Members of the New England high society rarely socialized with him. Dexter decided to buy a huge house in Newburyport from Nathaniel Tracy, a local socialite, and tried to emulate them. His relationships with his wife, daughter, and son also suffered. This became evident when he started telling visitors that his wife had died (despite the fact that she was still alive) and that the woman who frequented the building was simply her ghost. In one notable episode, Dexter faked his own death to see how people would react. About 3,000 people attended Dexter's mock wake. Dexter did not see his wife cry, and after he revealed the hoax, he caned her for not grieving his death sufficiently.

Dexter also bought an estate in Chester, New Hampshire. He decorated his house in Newburyport with minarets, a golden eagle on the top of the cupola, a mausoleum for himself and a garden of 40 wooden statues of famous men, including George Washington, William Pitt, Napoleon Bonaparte, Thomas Jefferson, and himself. It had the inscription, "I am the first in the East, the first in the West, and the greatest philosopher in the Western World".

At age 50, Dexter authored A Pickle for the Knowing Ones or Plain Truth in a Homespun Dress, in which he complained about politicians, the clergy, and his wife. The book contained 8,847 words and 33,864 letters, but without punctuation and seemingly random capitalization. Dexter initially handed his book out for free, but it became popular and was reprinted eight times. In the second edition, Dexter added an extra page which consisted of 13 lines of punctuation marks with the instructions that readers could distribute them as they pleased.
 
The Diadochi poisoning Alexander and trying to carve out new kingdoms, when they had barely even secured their control over the Persian Empire.

George Washington building Fort Necessity in a flat, completely non-tactical area and surrendering; this mistake starting the French and Indian War, which ultimately led to the American Revolution.

Ottoman Sultan Mahmud II disbanding the Janissaries at their peak of power with 135,000 members.
There’s no conclusive evidence that they killed him.
 
Alcibiades going back to Athens in 407 BCE after damaging her like no other exile ever did or would ever do.
To be fair, for about four years prior, he had been serving Athens as a commander of the fleet, winning victories such as Cynizus, or winning over rebel cities such as Byzantium and Selymbria. He contributed to the victory in Abydos.

Basically, he had given the impression to the Athenians that he can do wonders.

What was irrational was the recall by the Athenian fleet at Samos of Alcibiades in 411, just after he betrayed the AThenians by serving Sparta, then later Persia under the satrap Tissaphernes, and electing him general.
 
How about Caesar naming a sickly 18 year old as heir? Then that sickly 18 year old heir without military experience, who was callow, and weakly, went to Italy after the assassination to claim his inheritance, which was in Antony's possession. How can such an inexperienced, sickly boy, contend with the politics of Rome after the assassination? How can he contend with Antony, Brutus, Cicero, the Senate, the Roman mob, the swarms of legions, etc.

He'd be devoured! He should have followed the advice of his mother and step father to reject the inheritance!
 
To be fair, for about four years prior, he had been serving Athens as a commander of the fleet, winning victories such as Cynizus, or winning over rebel cities such as Byzantium and Selymbria. He contributed to the victory in Abydos.

Basically, he had given the impression to the Athenians that he can do wonders.

What was irrational was the recall by the Athenian fleet at Samos of Alcibiades in 411, just after he betrayed the AThenians by serving Sparta, then later Persia under the satrap Tissaphernes, and electing him general.

Yeah that’s true, but honestly, Alcibiades seemed to inspire irrationality wherever he went. Everybody loved him when he was around and everybody hated him when he was not. Everybody believed him when he was manipulating them, and nobody believed him when he actually spoke the truth.

I picked 407 mainly because by 411 Alcibiades didn’t think it safe to go back, for good reason I presume. He was called back, but that’s mostly because of the several political upheavals Athens faced. By 407 though, the Athenians were close to thinking he was sort of a living god, which was pretty irrational considering how things turned out in the end.
 
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Seeing Mongol feigned retreat in action a single time in your life and choosing to employ it in the single largest and most important battle in your country's history, and also botching the tactic by having not a few units pull the maneuver, but the whole army.
 

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Charles II either not divorcin Catherine of Braganza to remarry and have kids, or James II converting to Catholicism.
 
Ottoman Sultan Mahmud II disbanding the Janissaries at their peak of power with 135,000 members.
This is irrational? The Janissaries were a bloated, ineffective force by this point, with many more members on the rolls than actually willing to fight. Mahmud actually managed to disband the force with relatively little backlash, which is all the more impressive considering that his predecessor Selim had been overthrown by them.

I'd reckon Mahmud II is a usually underrated Sultan, whose legacy in starting the Ottoman Empire's road to a modernized state has often been overshadowed (for understandable reasons mind you) by Muhammad Ali Pasha in Egypt.
 
Japanese junior officer corps deliberately disobeying orders from both command and civilian government, effectively seizing control of the government and starting a war while being heralded as heroes, rather than getting arrested and executed for treason. Though given that the war they started was the Second Sino-Japanese War, perhaps that wasn't such a great idea after all.
 
Charles II either not divorcin Catherine of Braganza to remarry and have kids, or James II converting to Catholicism.

Not sure you could say either of these decisions worked, which is the key point of the title.
One died childless, the other was overthrown for being Catholic.
 
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